Tropical Disturbance Increases Memorial Day Rain Chances

MACON, Georgia. (41NBC/WMGT) Good morning, Middle Georgia! We are off to a warm start – temperatures this morning were in the 60’s. Yesterday, morning lows were in the 50’s. Some showers are pushing into North Georgia, but they are mostly dissipating before reaching the Heart of Georgia.

I feel like a broken record playing over and over again at this point, because the forecast hasn’t really changed much this week. The high pressure system that has stayed over the southeast thus far will be moving northeast today. As it moves away, we will see moisture values increasing today. Skies will stay partly cloudy throughout the late morning and afternoon hours. It appears as though, once again, we will see our high temperatures up to 90 degrees again today.

The moisture that will be reintroduced to the region, in addition to the sunshine heating the lower atmosphere to about 90 degrees will create the possibility for a few stray afternoon thunderstorms to form. I am keeping the rain chance at 20% for this afternoon. It looks as though most of the rain will stay off to our north. Any storms that form in our neck of the woods today will be isolated in nature.

Conditions look to remain dry for Friday. I’ve also pushed back rain chances for the weekend – let’s talk about that.

Right now, there is a tropical disturbance in the western Atlantic Ocean, between Bermuda and the Bahamas. The National Hurricane Center (NHC) is monitoring this low pressure system for development. The Atlantic hurricane season doesn’t officially start until June 1st (this is just a reference date – it is possible for hurricanes to form before June 1st). The environment in which this low pressure system is over may be conducive for further development. At this time, the NHC is giving this disturbance a 50% chance of developing into a tropical or subtropical cyclone.

At this point, there is no reason to panic. It is still early on in formation, and the NHC is watching this system very closely. An Air Force reconnaissance plane will be flying through this low on Friday to take measurements and investigate its development.

What does this mean for middle Georgia? Will it affect us? The forecasting models are in agreement that this system will track west/northwest as it nears the east coast. Saturday and Sunday should be relatively dry as this low will still be off the coast of Georgia/South Carolina/North Carolina. Rain chances will increase on Memorial Day as the low should be much closer to land, pumping moisture inland from the Atlantic Ocean. Some showers/storms are likely to develop on your Memorial Day holiday.

The National Hurricane Center will be issuing another Special Tropical Weather Outlook at 3 PM ET today. For additional information, visit: www.nhc.noaa.gov.

Categories: Weather

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