A break in the rain before another round

MACON, Georgia (41NBC/WMGT) – Northwest flow continues near the surface bringing some dry air into the region. Upper level flow continues out of the west southwest from the subtropical

jet. Our next system comes with a descending shortwave round the trough, currently over the Great Lakes, and multiple packets of energy breaking off the cut-off low over the Southwest U.S. The combination of these energy pockets helps to reinforce the boundary which currently stretches across the southern portion of the Gulf states. Models continue to struggle with resolving this next surge in this band of lift, however the next chances at showers starts as the front moves north on Saturday. This introduces opportunities for rain across the southern portions of  our coverage area. The greatest convection associated with this will be south of the region so don’t expect too much out of this initial push. The next best chance for heavier showers and thunderstorms comes from daytime heating to the west as it transverses eastward along the front. Instability and shear appear modest with the Saturday night and Sunday morning convection.

This set up has a decent chance of southern convection cutting off energy flow from the south. This would lead to more shower conditions than thunderstorms. Overall, there remains a near continuous potential for showers and thunderstorms across the southern coverage area from Saturday morning forward. The real question becomes when or  where we could see the heaviest and could we see some severe. Temperatures through the period remain in the 70s to low 80s with lows in the 50s to near 60.  Another wave embedded in the deeper upper level low over the eastern

portions of the North Atlantic rotates through the region Sunday into Monday morning. This will drive another round of showers and some possible thunderstorms as moisture continues to be drawn into the area under upper level support. A cold front will likely push through the area early next week on Monday, bringing a drier start to the week and another push of seasonably cool air in North and Middle Georgia, keeping highs in the 70s and pushing lows into the 40s and 50s. Slow  warming trend continues into the midweek.