Rounds of showers & storms on the way to Middle Georgia

MACON, Georgia (41NBC/WMGT) – A ridge of high pressure centered over Canada stretching south along the Appalachians into North Georgia remains in place. This is promoting stable

conditions and cooler temperatures. Lows will be in the lower 50s to near 60. Early Tuesday morning, instability pushes into North Georgia ahead of a frontal boundary. Showers are likely over north Georgia and possibly over Middle Georgia. Models are conflicted on the strength of these showers and their timing, but it’s likely to be early morning into midday. Showers are likely to weaken, and decrease in coverage as they move further into Georgia. Embedded thunderstorms are possible, with the risk higher in Northwest Georgia. A lull in the activity is likely during the afternoon and early evening.  On Tuesday night, another surge of moisture is expected to push over the state. Showers and periods of rain are expected late tomorrow night, with isolated to scattered embedded thunderstorms. The thunderstorm risk does decrease as the disturbance moves east across Georgia.  The main feature of the rest of the week will be the return of consistent rain chances nearly everyday through the weekend. The greatest chances for notable rainfall will be Tuesday into Wednesday as a stronger shortwave moves along the subtropical jet towards the Northeast U.S. Low development drives strong moisture advection across the state.  Confidence is increasing in thunderstorm potential Wednesday. Ample destabilization and low level dynamics will be in play. The main feature to watch will be the evolution of the  approaching front and eventual stalling. This front will act as a focal point for convection Wednesday and could produce multiple rounds of storms. The greatest storm threat looks to be in Northern Georgia, where storms could become strong to severe.