Weather Forecast for May 26, 2014

A summer-like pattern is in the forecast for the rest of the week.  Here is the set-up: there looks to be instability in the atmosphere throughout the week, including high CAPE (convective available potential energy).  Wind shear will be low to non-existent, but it looks like there will be enough of a spark to get some strong storms going, with isolated severe weather possible.  This looks like a typical summer pattern, so while, yes, the potential for severe weather is there, it’s not out of the ordinary.  The biggest concerns will be high winds and hail from those storms, with frequent lightning being the main concern for strong thunderstorms.

Temperatures remain very warm to hot this week in the upper 80s and low 90s.  We could see things settle down and dry out this weekend, but models diverge on the timing, so expect rainfall chances and temperatures to change this weekend and early next week as we get closer to the weekend.