Heat and Humidity start the new week

MACON, Georgia (41NBC/WMGT) – Showers and thunderstorms have tapered off, and now are being replaced by fog and mist developing across the area. The air remains humid, the ground is relatively moist due to rainfall, and the winds are light to calm. This slowly moving to near stationary front will still be a potentially ridge-riding system for more convection-type storms impacting North Georgia. Models are in disagreement regarding the strength, organization, and progression of these systems. The Storm Prediction Center has issued a Slight Risk (Level 2 out of 5) across far north-central and northeast Georgia today, with a Marginal Risk (Level 1 out of 5) just south of that. Hazards will include damaging wind gusts up to 60 mph and hail up to a quarter-size. Headed into Tuesday, the forecast gets a bit complicated. The initial system that brought storms on Sunday will push to the northwest over the Upper Great Plains. Another upper level system will push underneath it, triggering the formation of another low and more convection. Convection is likely to be ongoing through the day on Tuesday to the west, with a potential for a severe weather outbreak. A lot of what happens for Georgia will depend on how convection evolves through the day Tuesday. Models do tend to favor organized line segments or broken line segments, pushing into the region by Tuesday night into Wednesday morning as a cold front pushes everything towards us. Whether this scenario comes about is still uncertain. On Wednesday, the cold front is poised to move through the state. Depending on the speed of it, some lingering thunderstorms are possible in portions of Middle Georgia especially east Central Georgia. The bigger story may be the more Spring-like temperatures filtering in behind.