Severe Weather Forecast for April 30th, 2014

This morning is easily sloppier than yesterday’s, with more storms and heavier rainfall.  The chance for severe weather is higher between 10 am and 6 pm today.  However, things look rainier as a whole this morning according to the latest model runs, so we’re hoping that we avoid severe weather, but the models have changed plenty with every update.  If we do get widespread rainfall this afternoon, we see CAPE values that are very high and low-level wind shear strong enough to produce severe thunderstorms, with the main concerns being hail and high winds, plus a chance for isolated tornadoes.  These are things we’ve been through before, and nothing about this system strikes me as unusual for a spring storm system in Middle Georgia.

Rainfall accumulation could go up to 1 – 2 inches for today.  Things clear out later in the 7-Day with cooler than average temperatures in the area.